The Ranker’s Prediction Accuracy

Performance Against the Spread

The Ranker’s team ratings are designed to predict the outcome of games.  The difference between two team’s ratings (after giving the home team’s rating a little boost) is the Ranker’s predicted scoring margin in the game.

NCAA Football

All 2017 games (starting with Week 3):  144-126, 53.3%

2017 high-confidence picks:  24-10, 70.6%

NCAA Basketball

All 2016-2017 games:  1461-1316, 52.6%

2016-2017 high-confidence games:  293-203, 59.1%