The Ranker is Better Than ESPN — 2-11-2018 Update

I’ve compared the results of using TheRankerPit.com’s team ratings and  ESPN’s BPI predictions to pick games against the spread.   The Ranker’s predictions simply compare the difference between each’s team’s overall rating to the point spread, adjusting for home court advantage.

I used the spreads posted on teamrankings.com.

Last season, The Ranker beat ESPN’s BPI in February, the only month I tracked.

  • TheRankerPit.com:  414-391, 51.4%
  • ESPN BPI:  376-429, 46.7%

This season has been rough, but apparently it’s been difficult for more than The Ranker.  Saturday’s result broke a 9-day streak of The Ranker beating ESPN.

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The Ranker is Better Than ESPN — 2-4-2018 Update

I’ve compared the results of using TheRankerPit.com’s team ratings and  ESPN’s BPI predictions to pick games against the spread.   The Ranker’s predictions simply compare the difference between each’s team’s overall rating to the point spread, adjusting for home court advantage.

I used the spreads posted on teamrankings.com.

Last season, The Ranker beat ESPN’s BPI in February, the only month I tracked.

  • TheRankerPit.com:  414-391, 51.4%
  • ESPN BPI:  376-429, 46.7%

This season has been rough, but apparently it’s been difficult for more than The Ranker.  The last full week of January was a particulary rough stretch, but TheRankerPit.com’s picks are still out-performing ESPN’s BPI overall.

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The Ranker is Better Than ESPN — 1-14-2018 Update

I’ve compared the results of using TheRankerPit.com’s team ratings and  ESPN’s BPI predictions to pick games against the spread.   The Ranker’s predictions simply compare the difference between each’s team’s overall rating to the point spread, adjusting for home court advantage.

I used the spreads posted on teamrankings.com.

Last season, The Ranker beat ESPN’s BPI in February, the only month I tracked.

  • TheRankerPit.com:  414-391, 51.4%
  • ESPN BPI:  376-429, 46.7%

This season has been rough, but apparently it’s been difficult for more than The Ranker.  TheRankerPit.com’s picks are still out-performing ESPN’s BPI.

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The Ranker is Better Than ESPN — Mar 11 update

I’v compared The Ranker’s predictions with those from ESPN’s BPI predictions.  I started tracking the comparison on February 2nd.  I noticed an error in my March calculations, so this comparison is limited to February’s games.  I will have to go back and re-run the numbers for March to continue the appropriate comparison.

I can only compare the picks for games that The Ranker made picks for.  I use teamrankings.com to get my point spreads, so my picks are limited to the games that are posted there.

I am quite pleased with The Ranker’s performance against ESPN’s BPI predictions.  The Ranker performed as well or better than ESPN’s BPI at picking against the spread on 16 out of 24 days.  Good job, Ranker!

All Games   High-Confidence Games
Date Number Correct Out of   Date Number Correct Out of
BPI TRP   BPI TRP
2/2 17 16 29 2/2 5 5 6
2/3 3 4 9 2/3 0 1 2
2/4 51 61 111 2/4 9 12 18
2/5 4 6 7 2/5 1 1 1
2/6 8 7 12 2/6 2 2 3
2/7 12 12 28 2/7 1 1 2
2/8 20 21 33 2/8 6 5 6
2/9 21 28 50 2/9 3 4 5
2/10 3 7 10 2/10 0 2 4
2/11 47 45 106 2/11 11 9 21
2/12 4 4 13 2/12 0 0 2
2/13 7 8 15 2/13 0 2 3
2/14 18 16 27 2/14 2 2 3
2/15 19 18 34 2/15 1 0 1
2/16 20 19 38 2/16 1 3 5
2/17 4 7 14 2/17 1 2 6
2/20 4 4 8 2/20 0 0 0
2/21 14 13 29 2/21 3 4 10
2/22 11 16 37 2/22 2 5 9
2/23 19 24 42 2/23 4 2 6
2/24 7 10 16 2/24 2 6 7
2/25 42 46 96 2/25 11 12 25
2/27 13 9 18 2/27 3 3 4
2/28 8 13 23 2/28 3 3 5

The Ranker is Better Than ESPN — Mar 3 update

I’ve thought highly of The Ranker’s NCAA Basketball picks against the spread, and I’ve been itching to compare they’re accuracy against the predictions from other computer models.

I’m not the quickest draw when it comes to scraping the web for data, but I’ve begun comparing The Ranker’s predictions with those from ESPN’s BPI predictions.

I can only compare the picks for games that The Ranker made picks for.  I’m comparing all of The Ranker’s picks, as well as the subset of her picks that she was most confident about.

So far, The Ranker has done as well or better than ESPN’s BPI at picking against the spread on 18 out of 26 days.  Good job, Ranker!

All Games     High-Confidence Games
  Number Correct Out of     Number Correct Out of
ESPN Ranker   ESPN Ranker
Total 405 445 878 Total 75 90 162
% Correct 46% 51% % Correct 46% 56%

 

The Ranker is Better Than ESPN — Feb 18 update

I’ve thought highly of The Ranker’s NCAA Basketball picks against the spread, and I’ve been itching to compare they’re accuracy against the predictions from other computer models.

I’m not the quickest draw when it comes to scraping the web for data, but I’ve begun comparing The Ranker’s predictions with those from ESPN’s BPI predictions.

I can only compare the picks for games that The Ranker made picks for.  I’m comparing all of The Ranker’s picks, as well as the subset of her picks that she was most confident about.

So far, The Ranker has done as well or better than ESPN’s BPI at picking against the spread on 10 out of 16 days.  Good job, Ranker!

All Games     High-Confidence Games
  Number Correct Out of     Number Correct Out of
BPI TRP   BPI TRP
Total 258 279 536 Total 43 51 88
% Correct 48% 52% % Correct 49% 58%

 

The Ranker is Better Than ESPN — Feb 16 update

I’ve thought highly of The Ranker’s NCAA Basketball picks against the spread, and I’ve been itching to compare they’re accuracy against the predictions from other computer models.

I’m not the quickest draw when it comes to scraping the web for data, but I’ve begun comparing The Ranker’s predictions with those from ESPN’s BPI predictions.

I can only compare the picks for games that The Ranker made picks for.  I’m comparing all of The Ranker’s picks, as well as the subset of her picks that she was most confident about.

So far, The Ranker has done as well or better than ESPN’s BPI at picking against the spread on 9 out of 14 days.  Good job, Ranker!

All Games     High-Confidence Games
  Number Correct Out of     Number Correct Out of
BPI TRP   BPI TRP
Total 234 253 484 Total 41 46 77
% Correct 48% 52% % Correct 53% 60%

 

The Ranker is Better Than ESPN — Feb 15 update

I’ve thought highly of The Ranker’s NCAA Basketball picks against the spread, and I’ve been itching to compare they’re accuracy against the predictions from other computer models.

I’m not the quickest draw when it comes to scraping the web for data, but I’ve begun comparing The Ranker’s predictions with those from ESPN’s BPI predictions.

I can only compare the picks for games that The Ranker made picks for.  I’m comparing all of The Ranker’s picks, as well as the subset of her picks that she was most confident about.

So far, The Ranker has done as well or better than ESPN’s BPI at picking against the spread on 9 out of 13 days.  Good job, Ranker!

All Games   High-Confidence Games
Date Number Correct Out of   Date Number Correct Out of
BPI TRP   BPI TRP
2/2 17 16 29 2/2 5 5 6
2/3 3 4 9 2/3 0 1 2
2/4 51 61 111 2/4 9 12 18
2/5 4 6 7 2/5 1 1 1
2/6 8 7 12 2/6 2 2 3
2/7 12 12 28 2/7 1 1 2
2/8 20 21 33 2/8 6 5 6
2/9 21 28 50 2/9 3 4 5
2/10 3 7 10 2/10 0 2 4
2/11 47 45 106 2/11 11 9 21
2/12 4 4 13 2/12 0 0 2
2/13 7 8 15 2/13 0 2 3
2/14 18 16 27 2/14 2 2 3
Total 215 235 450   Total 40 46 76
% Correct 48% 52%     % Correct 53% 61%  

The Ranker is Better Than ESPN — Feb 14 update

I’ve thought highly of The Ranker’s NCAA Basketball picks against the spread, and I’ve been itching to compare they’re accuracy against the predictions from other computer models.

I’m not the quickest draw when it comes to scraping the web for data, but I’ve begun comparing The Ranker’s predictions with those from ESPN’s BPI predictions.

I can only compare the picks for games that The Ranker made picks for.  I’m comparing all of The Ranker’s picks, as well as the subset of her picks that she was most confident about.

So far, The Ranker has done as well or better than ESPN’s BPI at picking against the spread on 10 out of 12 days.  Good job, Ranker!

All Games   High-Confidence Games
Date Number Correct Out of   Date Number Correct Out of
BPI TRP   BPI TRP
2/2 17 16 29 2/2 5 5 6
2/3 3 4 9 2/3 0 1 2
2/4 51 61 111 2/4 9 12 18
2/5 4 6 7 2/5 1 1 1
2/6 8 7 12 2/6 2 2 3
2/7 12 12 28 2/7 1 1 2
2/8 20 21 33 2/8 6 5 6
2/9 21 28 50 2/9 3 4 5
2/10 3 7 10 2/10 0 2 4
2/11 47 45 106 2/11 11 9 21
2/12 4 4 13 2/12 0 0 2
2/13 7 8 15 2/13 0 2 3
Total 197 219 423   Total 38 44 73
% Correct 47% 52%     % Correct 52% 60%  

 

The Ranker is Better Than ESPN — Feb 12 update

I’ve thought highly of the Ranker’s NCAA Basketball picks against the spread, and I’ve been itching to compare they’re accuracy against the predictions from other computer models.

I’m not the quickest draw when it comes to scraping the web for data, but I’ve begun comparing the Ranker’s predictions with those from ESPN’s BPI predictions.

I can only compare the picks for games that the Ranker made picks for.  I’m comparing all of the Ranker’s picks, as well as the subset of her picks that she was most confident about.

So far…good job, Ranker!

All Games   High-Confidence Games
Date Number Correct Out of   Date Number Correct Out of
BPI TRP   BPI TRP
2/2 17 16 29 2/2 5 5 6
2/3 3 4 9 2/3 0 1 2
2/4 51 61 111 2/4 9 12 18
2/5 4 6 7 2/5 1 1 1
2/6 8 7 12 2/6 2 2 3
2/7 12 12 28 2/7 1 1 2
2/8 20 21 33 2/8 6 5 6
2/9 21 28 50 2/9 3 4 5
2/10 3 7 10 2/10 0 2 4
2/11 47 45 106 2/11 11 9 21
Total 186 207 395   Total 38 42 68
% Correct 47% 52%     % Correct 56% 62%