Jeff Sagarin’s team ratings dominated last week, and the other two did well – after everyone put up stinkers in the previous week.  For the season, interestingly enough, the difference between the three models is now negligible.

Last week’s results

• TheRankerPit:  29-25-1, 53.7%
• Jeff Sagarin:  34-20-1, 63.0%
• ESPN FPI:  31-23-1, 57.4%

I’m a proud papa this week – The Ranker slayed with last week’s upset picks:  5-3, 63%.

The Ranker’s high confidence picks got back on track last week.  Last week’s picks were  6-4 (60%), resulting in a season record of 26-13 (67%).

 

The Ranker did pretty well last week, with 38% accuracy (3 out of 8).

Note:  So far, The Ranker has predicted 65 upsets – 17 were correct, along with some close calls.

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The Ranker had a rough showing in Week 8.  ESPN’s FPI and Jeff Sagarin’s ratings didn’t fare much better in Week 8’s picks against the spread.

Last week’s results

• TheRankerPit:  22-34, 39.3%
• Jeff Sagarin:  24-32, 42.9%
• ESPN FPI:  26-30, 46.4%

The Ranker also did well with last week’s upset picks:  3-8, 38%.

The Ranker’s high confidence picks were took a little dip after a strong streak.  Last week’s picks were not impressive (3-4, 43%), resulting in a season record of 26-13 (67%).

 

The Ranker was on point last week, with a solid 50% (5 out of 10).

Note:  So far, The Ranker has predicted 57 upsets – 14 were correct, along with some close calls.

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The Ranker slayed ESPN’s FPI and Jeff Sagarin’s ratings in Week 7’s picks against the spread.

Last week’s results

• TheRankerPit:  33-26-1, 55.9%
• Jeff Sagarin:  23-35-1, 39.7%
• ESPN FPI:  26-33-1, 44.1%

The Ranker also did well with last week’s upset picks:  5-5, 50%.

The Ranker’s high confidence picks were not impressive (12-12, 50%), which led me to take a closer look at the data.  I’ve found a better set of parameters to identify “high confidence” picks moving forward.  These picks were 5-2 (71%) last week, 24-10 (71%) on the season.