Good Week 9 For All – Prediction Results

Jeff Sagarin’s team ratings dominated last week, and the other two did well – after everyone put up stinkers in the previous week.  For the season, interestingly enough, the difference between the three models is now negligible.

Last week’s results

I’m a proud papa this week – The Ranker slayed with last week’s upset picks:  5-3, 63%.

The Ranker’s high confidence picks got back on track last week.  Last week’s picks were  6-4 (60%), resulting in a season record of 26-13 (67%).

 

Week 9 College Football High Confidence Picks

The Ranker has demonstrated an affinity for picking home underdogs.  For the season, The Ranker is 74-56 (57%) picking home dogs to cover the spread.  When the spread is 2.5-6.0 points, The Ranker is 26-13 (67%).

Check out which home dogs The Ranker likes to cover this week on the picks page.  Below are the teams getting 2.5-6.0 points at home.

Continue reading

Ugly Week 8 For All – Prediction Results

The Ranker had a rough showing in Week 8.  ESPN’s FPI and Jeff Sagarin’s ratings didn’t fare much better in Week 8’s picks against the spread.

Last week’s results

The Ranker also did well with last week’s upset picks:  3-8, 38%.

The Ranker’s high confidence picks were took a little dip after a strong streak.  Last week’s picks were not impressive (3-4, 43%), resulting in a season record of 26-13 (67%).

 

The Ranker Slays in Week 7 – Prediction Results

The Ranker slayed ESPN’s FPI and Jeff Sagarin’s ratings in Week 7’s picks against the spread.

Last week’s results

The Ranker also did well with last week’s upset picks:  5-5, 50%.

The Ranker’s high confidence picks were not impressive (12-12, 50%), which led me to take a closer look at the data.  I’ve found a better set of parameters to identify “high confidence” picks moving forward.  These picks were 5-2 (71%) last week, 24-10 (71%) on the season.

 

Week 7 College Football Upset Alerts

As the season progresses, and The Ranker has more data to work with, the upset alerts should carry more weight.  Nonetheless, here are the games The Ranker has identified as the most likely upsets this week.

Note:  So far, The Ranker has predicted 47 upsets – only 9 have happened, although there’s been some close calls.  This week looks promising…

Continue reading