College Basketball Prediction Accuracy

2016-2017 Season Performance Against the Spread

  • All 2016-2017 games:  1461-1316, 52.6%
  • High-confidence games:  293-203, 59.1%

In February, I started tracking ESPN BPI game predictions for comparison.

All games

  • TheRankerPit:  401-381, 51.3%
  • ESPN BPI:  368-414, 47.1%

High-confidence games

  • TheRankerPit:  83-66, 55.7%
  • ESPN BPI:  68-81, 45.6%

2016-2017 Season Notes

I’ve tracked the Ranker’s picks since 12/9/16, after I created The Ranker.  I used the point spreads published on teamrankings.com to pick against, so measuring the accuracy of the Ranker’s predictions is limited to those games.