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Most Over/Under-rated Teams 2-13-17

~ Michael Erwin ~ Leave a comment

OVERRATED

According to the rankings in the AP Poll, the Ranker says the following teams are overrated (in order of overratedness):

Team AP Rank TRP Rank
Maryland 23 55
Southern California 29 54
Kansas 3 19
Arizona 5 21
Baylor 4 17
Villanova 2 9
Oregon 7 13

UNDERRATED

According to the rankings in the AP Poll, the Ranker says the following teams are underrated (in order of underratedness):

Team AP Rank TRP Rank
Wichita St. 26 8
Oklahoma St. 34 23
Kentucky 13 4
Virginia 14 5
Florida 15 7
West Virginia 9 2
Cincinnati 18 11

Most Over/Under-rated Teams 2-9-17

~ Michael Erwin ~ Leave a comment

OVERRATED

According to the rankings in the AP Poll, the Ranker says the following teams are overrated (in order of overratedness):

  • Maryland -Big time!!!  AP rank: 21, but the Ranker says they’re barely in the top 60
  • USC – Technically 27th in the AP, but 53rd according to the Ranker
  • Kansas
  • Baylor
  • Arizona
  • Xavier
  • Oregon

UNDERRATED

According to the rankings in the AP Poll, the Ranker says the following teams are underrated (in order of underratedness):

  • Wichita State – 26th in the AP, but 12th according to the Ranker
  • Oklahoma State
  • West Virginia
  • Kentucky
  • Florida
  • Virginia

Most Over/Under-rated Teams

~ Michael Erwin ~ Leave a comment

OVERRATED

According to the rankings in the AP Poll, the Ranker says the following teams are overrated (in order of overratedness):

  • Maryland (Big time!!!  AP rank: 21, but the Ranker says they’re barely in the top 50)
  • Kansas
  • Baylor
  • Arizona
  • Wisconsin
  • Villanova
  • South Carolina

UNDERRATED

According to the rankings in the AP Poll, the Ranker says the following teams are underrated (in order of underratedness):

  • Oklahoma State
  • Kentucky
  • West Virginia
  • Florida
  • Virginia

Team Ratings – NCAA Men’s Basketball

~ Michael Erwin ~ Leave a comment

The Ranker has measured them up, and here’s how the teams stack up against each other.  The ratings are designed to be predictive, as in the team with the higher rating should beat the team with the lower rating.  The Ranker has also determined a home-court-factor, which should be added to the the rating of the home team.  The difference between the home team’s adjusted rating and the visiting team’s rating is the predicted total point difference for that matchup.

(As of games through 2/4/17)

Home-court-factor:  +2.89

Rank Team Rating
1 Gonzaga 66.54
2 West Virginia 64.48
3 Kentucky 64.38
4 Louisville 64.06
5 Virginia 62.25
6 North Carolina 62.14
7 Florida 61.16
8 Villanova 60.99
9 UCLA 60.75
10 Cincinnati 60.67
11 Oregon 60.25
12 Wisconsin 60.20
13 Wichita St. 59.98
14 Purdue 59.98
15 Kansas 59.79
16 Duke 59.66
17 Baylor 59.27
18 Florida St. 59.23
19 St. Mary’s (CA) 58.68
20 SMU 58.31
21 Arizona 57.70
22 Notre Dame 56.91
23 Butler 56.74
24 Oklahoma St. 56.63
25 South Carolina 56.15
26 Creighton 56.02
27 Iowa St. 55.71
28 Dayton 55.01
29 Houston 54.65
30 Indiana 54.23
31 Xavier 54.05
32 Minnesota 53.91
33 Northwestern 53.83
34 Kansas St. 53.57
35 Rhode Island 53.53
36 Texas Tech 53.53
37 VCU 53.52
38 TCU 53.19
39 Utah 52.81
40 Middle Tenn. 52.57
41 Michigan 52.49
42 Syracuse 52.48
43 California 52.45
44 Wake Forest 52.33
45 Arkansas 52.05
46 Marquette 52.04
47 Maryland 52.03
48 Miami (FL) 51.99
49 Tennessee 51.91
50 Clemson 51.89
51 Michigan St. 51.42
52 East Tenn. St. 51.20
53 UNC Wilmington 51.08
54 Southern California 51.07
55 BYU 50.99
56 Illinois St. 50.97
57 Ohio St. 50.26
58 Virginia Tech 50.22
59 Georgetown 50.12
60 Louisiana Tech 49.98
61 Georgia 49.79
62 Seton Hall 49.53
63 UCF 49.50
64 Monmouth 49.31
65 Texas A&M 49.30
66 Nevada 49.25
67 Belmont 49.22
68 New Mexico St. 49.08
69 St. Bonaventure 48.93
70 Memphis 48.89
71 Vermont 48.87
72 San Diego St. 48.70
73 San Francisco 48.57
74 Vanderbilt 48.56
75 Alabama 48.49
76 Valparaiso 48.48
77 Ole Miss 48.43
78 Akron 48.01
79 Ohio 47.91
80 North Carolina St. 47.90
81 Texas-Arlington 47.81
82 Boise St. 47.69
83 Iowa 47.66
84 Princeton 47.62
85 Pittsburgh 47.54
86 Illinois 47.47
87 Providence 47.31
88 Bucknell 47.27
89 Colorado 47.20
90 Texas 46.83
91 Oklahoma 46.79
92 Mississippi St. 46.68
93 Davidson 46.60
94 Col. of Charleston 46.56
95 Auburn 46.40
96 Furman 46.34
97 Penn St. 46.34
98 Colorado St. 46.21
99 New Mexico 46.16
100 Chattanooga 46.10
101 Loyola (IL) 46.09
102 Nebraska 46.02
103 Oakland 46.00
104 Stanford 45.99
105 FGCU 45.97
106 Georgia Tech 45.90
107 IPFW 45.70
108 Temple 45.68
109 Lehigh 45.65
110 Iona 45.64
111 Winthrop 45.63
112 St. John’s (NY) 45.44
113 Massachusetts 45.35
114 Rice 45.32
115 Arkansas St. 45.29
116 Yale 45.21
117 UNC Asheville 45.16
118 UConn 44.92
119 Richmond 44.84
120 La Salle 44.79
121 Towson 44.75
122 Fresno St. 44.72
123 William & Mary 44.70
124 Bakersfield 44.52
125 Washington 44.47
126 Missouri St. 44.47
127 Georgia St. 44.33
128 UAB 44.31
129 Old Dominion 44.18
130 George Mason 44.13
131 Denver 44.03
132 Tulsa 44.01
133 Eastern Mich. 43.92
134 Harvard 43.90
135 Kent St. 43.67
136 Wyoming 43.66
137 Albany (NY) 43.61
138 Elon 43.50
139 La.-Lafayette 43.44
140 Arizona St. 43.31
141 North Dakota St. 43.29
142 Utah St. 43.20
143 Northeastern 42.86
144 Marshall 42.82
145 Weber St. 42.80
146 N.C. Central 42.78
147 Evansville 42.46
148 Boston College 42.44
149 Samford 42.34
150 Canisius 42.34
151 Troy 42.34
152 Santa Clara 42.33
153 Buffalo 42.28
154 UC Irvine 42.27
155 Rutgers 42.25
156 South Dakota 42.15
157 UMBC 42.11
158 Boston U. 42.10
159 St. Peter’s 42.08
160 Saint Joseph’s 42.08
161 Ga. Southern 42.07
162 Tennessee St. 42.02
163 Toledo 42.00
164 UNC Greensboro 41.88
165 Eastern Wash. 41.80
166 Northern Ky. 41.64
167 Southern Ill. 41.60
168 Navy 41.56
169 Lipscomb 41.50
170 Green Bay 41.47
171 Northern Ill. 41.42
172 Loyola Marymount 41.28
173 Morehead St. 41.17
174 Ball St. 41.04
175 Wright St. 41.01
176 Stony Brook 40.92
177 UT Martin 40.77
178 Air Force 40.73
179 Sam Houston St. 40.73
180 George Washington 40.65
181 Montana 40.59
182 Grand Canyon 40.57
183 Siena 40.57
184 Central Mich. 40.53
185 Liberty 40.52
186 UNI 40.50
187 Murray St. 40.48
188 Penn 40.34
189 New Hampshire 40.33
190 Jacksonville St. 40.20
191 Fairfield 40.13
192 LSU 40.00
193 Mercer 39.95
194 Hofstra 39.90
195 Missouri 39.81
196 East Carolina 39.74
197 San Jose St. 39.71
198 DePaul 39.65
199 North Dakota 39.52
200 Montana St. 39.50
201 Washington St. 39.46
202 South Ala. 39.42
203 Idaho 39.42
204 Wofford 39.39
205 Coastal Caro. 39.37
206 Columbia 39.04
207 Indiana St. 38.96
208 Texas Southern 38.91
209 Utah Valley 38.86
210 Gardner-Webb 38.85
211 Fordham 38.78
212 Texas St. 38.76
213 Neb. Omaha 38.63
214 Wagner 38.42
215 Western Mich. 38.35
216 Holy Cross 38.34
217 Ill.-Chicago 38.33
218 UC Davis 38.33
219 Charlotte 38.28
220 Southeastern La. 38.17
221 UNLV 38.15
222 A&M-Corpus Chris 38.14
223 Mt. St. Mary’s 38.12
224 Portland St. 38.11
225 Bowling Green 38.02
226 UTEP 37.98
227 South Dakota St. 37.96
228 San Diego 37.89
229 Rider 37.83
230 Army 37.79
231 UALR 37.65
232 Loyola Maryland 37.57
233 Duquesne 37.56
234 Eastern Ill. 37.33
235 Lamar 37.28
236 Quinnipiac 37.25
237 Hawaii 37.19
238 New Orleans 37.15
239 Drake 36.98
240 S.C. Upstate 36.96
241 IUPUI 36.89
242 Western Ky. 36.88
243 Pacific 36.74
244 St. Francis (PA) 36.68
245 Oral Roberts 36.67
246 James Madison 36.67
247 Cleveland St. 36.39
248 High Point 36.35
249 UMKC 36.33
250 Long Island 36.26
251 Fla. Atlantic 35.99
252 Fairleigh Dickinson 35.86
253 Cornell 35.79
254 Stephen F. Austin 35.71
255 Brown 35.64
256 Seattle 35.57
257 Kennesaw St. 35.55
258 Niagara 35.49
259 Portland 35.43
260 Mass.-Lowell 35.38
261 Bradley 35.28
262 Tennessee Tech 35.16
263 Drexel 35.11
264 Miami (OH) 35.09
265 Southeast Mo. St. 35.01
266 Bryant 34.97
267 Cal St. Northridge 34.95
268 Jacksonville 34.91
269 NJIT 34.79
270 La.-Monroe 34.64
271 Long Beach St. 34.58
272 South Fla. 34.56
273 Houston Baptist 34.52
274 Robert Morris 34.42
275 Milwaukee 34.41
276 UTSA 34.19
277 Campbell 34.12
278 Tulane 34.11
279 Manhattan 33.99
280 Abilene Christian 33.92
281 Appalachian St. 33.92
282 FIU 33.85
283 Colgate 33.83
284 Binghamton 33.63
285 Cal St. Fullerton 33.60
286 North Texas 33.38
287 Saint Louis 33.36
288 Eastern Ky. 33.31
289 Northern Colo. 33.29
290 Southern U. 33.16
291 Oregon St. 32.99
292 UTRGV 32.82
293 Sacred Heart 32.56
294 Austin Peay 32.38
295 American 32.36
296 Incarnate Word 32.28
297 North Florida 32.27
298 Pepperdine 32.23
299 Radford 32.18
300 Charleston So. 32.16
301 Md.-East. Shore 32.14
302 Youngstown St. 32.02
303 Norfolk St. 31.74
304 UC Riverside 31.62
305 Detroit 31.38
306 Sacramento St. 31.35
307 Alcorn St. 31.30
308 Cal Poly 31.27
309 Hampton 31.26
310 Dartmouth 30.93
311 Delaware 30.81
312 Marist 30.74
313 Prairie View 30.58
314 Western Ill. 30.48
315 Central Ark. 30.44
316 Northwestern St. 30.15
317 Jackson St. 30.05
318 Idaho St. 29.71
319 Morgan St. 29.55
320 UC Santa Barbara 29.48
321 Southern Miss. 29.29
322 Nicholls St. 29.25
323 Citadel 29.19
324 VMI 29.04
325 McNeese St. 28.96
326 SIU Edwardsville 28.95
327 Northern Ariz. 28.63
328 Stetson 28.57
329 Hartford 28.14
330 Maine 28.02
331 Savannah St. 27.98
332 Alabama St. 27.15
333 Lafayette 27.09
334 Central Conn. St. 27.02
335 Southern Utah 26.69
336 South Carolina St. 26.55
337 Chicago St. 26.34
338 Western Caro. 26.15
339 St. Francis (NY) 25.81
340 Florida A&M 25.56
341 Delaware St. 25.47
342 Grambling 25.28
343 Howard 24.75
344 Bethune-Cookman 23.34
345 Ark.-Pine Bluff 22.93
346 Mississippi Val. 22.92
347 Longwood 22.79
348 N.C. A&T 21.26
349 Presbyterian 21.08
350 Coppin St. 20.24
351 Alabama A&M 16.71