Picks 2-17-2017

I have identified several conditions that when they are met, The Ranker’s picks are significantly more accurate.  Here are today’s picks that The Ranker has most confidence in:

  • Cornell +1.5 (@ Dartmouth)
  • Ill.-Chicago +1 (@ Detroit)
  • Valparaiso +1.5 (@ Oakland)
  • Yale +3 (vs Princeton)
  • Quinnipiac +1 (vs Fairfield)
  • California -2.5 (@ Stanford)

Also, there are certain teams whose games The Ranker picks especially well (at least 70% correctly).  Four of those teams play tonight.  The teams for which The Ranker is particularly tuned in are in bold:

  • Ill.-Chicago +1 (@ Detroit)
  • Harvard -8 (vs Columbia)
  • Quinnipiac +1 (vs Fairfield)
  • California -2.5 (@ Stanford)

Picks 2-16-2017

I have identified several conditions that when they are met, The Ranker’s picks are significantly more accurate.  Here are today’s picks that The Ranker has most confidence in:

  • Charleston +1 (@ Hofstra)
  • Northern Kentucky Pick (@ Cleveland State)
  • Gonzaga -21.5 (vs San Francisco)
  • UC Davis +3.5 (@ Long Beach State)
  • UC Riverside Pick (vs Cal St. Fullerton)

Also, I’ve just noticed that there are certain teams whose games The Ranker picks especially well (at least 70% correctly).  Five of those teams play tonight.  The teams for which The Ranker has an uncanny sense for are in bold:

  • Texas A&M +3.5 (@ Vanderbilt)
  • Wright State -5 (@ Youngstown State)
  • Gonzaga -21.5 (vs San Francisco)
  • Northern Colorado +13 (@ Weber State)
  • Hawaii -5.5 (@ UC Santa Barbara)

The Ranker is Better Than ESPN — Feb 16 update

I’ve thought highly of The Ranker’s NCAA Basketball picks against the spread, and I’ve been itching to compare they’re accuracy against the predictions from other computer models.

I’m not the quickest draw when it comes to scraping the web for data, but I’ve begun comparing The Ranker’s predictions with those from ESPN’s BPI predictions.

I can only compare the picks for games that The Ranker made picks for.  I’m comparing all of The Ranker’s picks, as well as the subset of her picks that she was most confident about.

So far, The Ranker has done as well or better than ESPN’s BPI at picking against the spread on 9 out of 14 days.  Good job, Ranker!

All Games     High-Confidence Games
  Number Correct Out of     Number Correct Out of
BPI TRP   BPI TRP
Total 234 253 484 Total 41 46 77
% Correct 48% 52% % Correct 53% 60%

 

The Ranker is Better Than ESPN — Feb 15 update

I’ve thought highly of The Ranker’s NCAA Basketball picks against the spread, and I’ve been itching to compare they’re accuracy against the predictions from other computer models.

I’m not the quickest draw when it comes to scraping the web for data, but I’ve begun comparing The Ranker’s predictions with those from ESPN’s BPI predictions.

I can only compare the picks for games that The Ranker made picks for.  I’m comparing all of The Ranker’s picks, as well as the subset of her picks that she was most confident about.

So far, The Ranker has done as well or better than ESPN’s BPI at picking against the spread on 9 out of 13 days.  Good job, Ranker!

All Games   High-Confidence Games
Date Number Correct Out of   Date Number Correct Out of
BPI TRP   BPI TRP
2/2 17 16 29 2/2 5 5 6
2/3 3 4 9 2/3 0 1 2
2/4 51 61 111 2/4 9 12 18
2/5 4 6 7 2/5 1 1 1
2/6 8 7 12 2/6 2 2 3
2/7 12 12 28 2/7 1 1 2
2/8 20 21 33 2/8 6 5 6
2/9 21 28 50 2/9 3 4 5
2/10 3 7 10 2/10 0 2 4
2/11 47 45 106 2/11 11 9 21
2/12 4 4 13 2/12 0 0 2
2/13 7 8 15 2/13 0 2 3
2/14 18 16 27 2/14 2 2 3
Total 215 235 450   Total 40 46 76
% Correct 48% 52%     % Correct 53% 61%  

The Ranker is Better Than ESPN — Feb 14 update

I’ve thought highly of The Ranker’s NCAA Basketball picks against the spread, and I’ve been itching to compare they’re accuracy against the predictions from other computer models.

I’m not the quickest draw when it comes to scraping the web for data, but I’ve begun comparing The Ranker’s predictions with those from ESPN’s BPI predictions.

I can only compare the picks for games that The Ranker made picks for.  I’m comparing all of The Ranker’s picks, as well as the subset of her picks that she was most confident about.

So far, The Ranker has done as well or better than ESPN’s BPI at picking against the spread on 10 out of 12 days.  Good job, Ranker!

All Games   High-Confidence Games
Date Number Correct Out of   Date Number Correct Out of
BPI TRP   BPI TRP
2/2 17 16 29 2/2 5 5 6
2/3 3 4 9 2/3 0 1 2
2/4 51 61 111 2/4 9 12 18
2/5 4 6 7 2/5 1 1 1
2/6 8 7 12 2/6 2 2 3
2/7 12 12 28 2/7 1 1 2
2/8 20 21 33 2/8 6 5 6
2/9 21 28 50 2/9 3 4 5
2/10 3 7 10 2/10 0 2 4
2/11 47 45 106 2/11 11 9 21
2/12 4 4 13 2/12 0 0 2
2/13 7 8 15 2/13 0 2 3
Total 197 219 423   Total 38 44 73
% Correct 47% 52%     % Correct 52% 60%  

 

The Ranker is Better Than ESPN — Feb 12 update

I’ve thought highly of the Ranker’s NCAA Basketball picks against the spread, and I’ve been itching to compare they’re accuracy against the predictions from other computer models.

I’m not the quickest draw when it comes to scraping the web for data, but I’ve begun comparing the Ranker’s predictions with those from ESPN’s BPI predictions.

I can only compare the picks for games that the Ranker made picks for.  I’m comparing all of the Ranker’s picks, as well as the subset of her picks that she was most confident about.

So far…good job, Ranker!

All Games   High-Confidence Games
Date Number Correct Out of   Date Number Correct Out of
BPI TRP   BPI TRP
2/2 17 16 29 2/2 5 5 6
2/3 3 4 9 2/3 0 1 2
2/4 51 61 111 2/4 9 12 18
2/5 4 6 7 2/5 1 1 1
2/6 8 7 12 2/6 2 2 3
2/7 12 12 28 2/7 1 1 2
2/8 20 21 33 2/8 6 5 6
2/9 21 28 50 2/9 3 4 5
2/10 3 7 10 2/10 0 2 4
2/11 47 45 106 2/11 11 9 21
Total 186 207 395   Total 38 42 68
% Correct 47% 52%     % Correct 56% 62%  

Picks 2-11-2017

Here’s are today’s picks that the Ranker has most confidence in:

  • Seton Hall -1 (@ St. John’s)
  • Syracuse -1 (@ Pittsburgh)
  • Texas Tech +5 (vs Kansas)
  • Charleston +1.5 (@ William & Mary)
  • Xavier +5 (vs Villanova)
  • Massachusetts +2.5 (@ Saint Joseph’s)
  • UIC -1 (vs Cleveland State)
  • UNC Wilmington -5 (@ Elon)
  • South Alabama +1 (@La. Monroe)
  • Tennessee State +1.5 (@ Jacksonville State)
  • Texas State -2 (vs Ark-Little Rock)
  • Morehead State -3.5 (@ Eastern Kentucky)
  • Siena -6.5 (@ Marist)
  • Duquesne Pick (@ Saint Louis)
  • Gonzaga -4 (@ St. Mary’s)
  • Belmont -10 (@ Tennessee Tech)
  • Wyoming +3 (@ Utah State)
  • California +7.5 (@ Arizona)
  • Cal St Fullerton +1.5 (vs Long Beach State)
  • Hawaii +4 (vs UC Irvine)