I’ve compared the results of using TheRankerPit.com’s team ratings and ESPN’s BPI predictions to pick games against the spread. The Ranker’s predictions simply compare the difference between each’s team’s overall rating to the point spread, adjusting for home court advantage.
I used the spreads posted on teamrankings.com.
Last season, The Ranker beat ESPN’s BPI in February, the only month I tracked.
- TheRankerPit.com: 414-391, 51.4%
- ESPN BPI: 376-429, 46.7%
This season has been rough, but apparently it’s been difficult for more than The Ranker. The last full week of January was a particulary rough stretch, but TheRankerPit.com’s picks are still out-performing ESPN’s BPI overall.
Games since 12/22/17
| TheRankerPit.com | ESPN BPI |
| 698-730, 49% | 678-750, 47% |
Daily Performance
| Date | # Games | TheRankerPit.com Correct | ESPN Correct | TRP Win | ESPN Win | Tie |
| 12/22/17 | 43 | 28 | 21 | X | ||
| 12/23/17 | 22 | 11 | 6 | X | ||
| 12/27/17 | 13 | 6 | 8 | X | ||
| 12/28/17 | 34 | 16 | 22 | X | ||
| 12/29/17 | 23 | 14 | 14 | X | ||
| 12/30/17 | 67 | 33 | 20 | X | ||
| 12/31/17 | 29 | 19 | 18 | X | ||
| 1/1/18 | 5 | 1 | 1 | X | ||
| 1/2/18 | 25 | 11 | 12 | X | ||
| 1/3/18 | 35 | 12 | 14 | X | ||
| 1/4/18 | 50 | 18 | 27 | X | ||
| 1/5/18 | 16 | 10 | 9 | X | ||
| 1/6/18 | 93 | 46 | 42 | X | ||
| 1/7/18 | 23 | 11 | 12 | X | ||
| 1/8/18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | X | ||
| 1/9/18 | 28 | 14 | 13 | X | ||
| 1/10/18 | 36 | 15 | 20 | X | ||
| 1/11/18 | 46 | 22 | 16 | X | ||
| 1/12/18 | 16 | 6 | 6 | X | ||
| 1/13/18 | 99 | 49 | 38 | X | ||
| 1/14/18 | 12 | 3 | 6 | X | ||
| 1/15/18 | 17 | 6 | 9 | X | ||
| 1/16/18 | 20 | 10 | 8 | X | ||
| 1/17/18 | 36 | 14 | 18 | X | ||
| 1/18/18 | 49 | 21 | 28 | X | ||
| 1/19/18 | 6 | 4 | 3 | X | ||
| 1/20/18 | 105 | 48 | 45 | X | ||
| 1/22/18 | 9 | 3 | 7 | X | ||
| 1/23/18 | 24 | 10 | 13 | X | ||
| 1/24/18 | 28 | 18 | 13 | X | ||
| 1/25/18 | 44 | 18 | 19 | X | ||
| 1/26/18 | 9 | 3 | 4 | X | ||
| 1/27/18 | 99 | 48 | 51 | X | ||
| 1/28/18 | 17 | 10 | 11 | X | ||
| 1/29/18 | 12 | 7 | 6 | X | ||
| 1/30/18 | 22 | 10 | 12 | X | ||
| 1/31/18 | 32 | 16 | 13 | X | ||
| 2/1/18 | 53 | 35 | 31 | X | ||
| 2/2/18 | 15 | 7 | 6 | X | ||
| 2/3/18 | 100 | 57 | 50 | X | ||
| 2/4/18 | 13 | 7 | 6 | X |
