The Ranker is Better Than ESPN — 1-14-2018 Update

I’ve compared the results of using TheRankerPit.com’s team ratings and  ESPN’s BPI predictions to pick games against the spread.   The Ranker’s predictions simply compare the difference between each’s team’s overall rating to the point spread, adjusting for home court advantage.

I used the spreads posted on teamrankings.com.

Last season, The Ranker beat ESPN’s BPI in February, the only month I tracked.

  • TheRankerPit.com:  414-391, 51.4%
  • ESPN BPI:  376-429, 46.7%

This season has been rough, but apparently it’s been difficult for more than The Ranker.  TheRankerPit.com’s picks are still out-performing ESPN’s BPI.

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Picks 1-3-2018

I have identified several conditions that when they are met, The Ranker’s picks are significantly more accurate.

Yesterday, the Ranker was 4-5-1.  Unfortunately, yesterday’s picks didn’t get posted online.  Here are today’s picks that The Ranker has most confidence in:

Point spreads from teamrankings.com

Game Pick
Richmond vs Fordham Richmond +1.5
Clemson vs Boston College Clemson -5
Syracuse vs Wake Forest Syracuse +2
North Carolina vs Florida St. North Carolina +1.5
VCU vs Saint Joseph’s VCU +1
Illinois St. vs Drake Illinois St. +4
South Dakota St. vs North Dakota St. North Dakota St. +1
Kentucky vs LSU LSU +4.5
Oklahoma St. vs Oklahoma Oklahoma St. +9.5
Missouri vs South Carolina Missouri +2
Virginia vs Virginia Tech Virginia Tech +1.5
Miami (FL) vs Georgia Tech Miami (FL) -6
North Carolina St. vs Notre Dame Notre Dame -7

Top 0.2% – The Ranker Slays Bowl Picks

The Ranker’s entry in ESPN’s Capital One Bowl Mania pick’em competition (using confidence points) scores better than 99.8% of all entries!

The picks were based solely off of the team ratings from TheRankerPit.com. The higher the rating difference, the higher the confidence points assigned to that matchup.

Pretty impressive, given all of the intangibles at play in bowl games. My entry is ranked 695 out of 300,000+ total entries. Screenshot of my score:

Picks 1-2-2018

I have identified several conditions that when they are met, The Ranker’s picks are significantly more accurate.

Yesterday, the Ranker was 1-0.  Unfortunately, yesterday’s picks didn’t get posted online.  Here are today’s picks that The Ranker has most confidence in:

Point spreads from teamrankings.com

Game Pick
Drexel vs UNC Wilmington Drexel +2
Ohio vs Central Mich. Ohio +2
TCU vs Baylor TCU +1.5
Butler vs Xavier Butler +7
Auburn vs Tennessee Auburn +6
Indiana vs Wisconsin Indiana +6
William & Mary vs James Madison William & Mary +3
Florida vs Texas A&M Texas A&M -3
Arkansas vs Mississippi St. Arkansas -2
Texas Tech vs Kansas Texas Tech +7