Month: October 2017

College Football Top 10 Defensive Teams – Week 9

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Overall team ratings and team statistical ratings for all teams are on the team ratings page.

Here are the Top 10 teams for each defensive category.  Ratings are adjusted to account for opponent strength.

Top 10 Teams in 3 out of 4 of the categories:

  • Alabama
  • Clemson
  • Penn State
  • Washington
Rank Rushing Passing TO Scoring
1 Mich. St. Penn St. Memphis Alabama
2 Georgia Washington St. South Florida TCU
3 Ohio St. Alabama Wyoming Penn St.
4 Alabama Florida State Utah Clemson
5 TCU Michigan Penn St. Georgia
6 Clemson LSU UCF Washington
7 Michigan Washington Utah State Wisconsin
8 NC State Clemson Appalachian St. Virginia Tech
9 Wisconsin Iowa State Texas A&M Ohio St.
10 Washington Boston College Notre Dame Mich. St.

Ugly Week 8 For All – Prediction Results

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The Ranker had a rough showing in Week 8.  ESPN’s FPI and Jeff Sagarin’s ratings didn’t fare much better in Week 8’s picks against the spread.

Last week’s results

The Ranker also did well with last week’s upset picks:  3-8, 38%.

The Ranker’s high confidence picks were took a little dip after a strong streak.  Last week’s picks were not impressive (3-4, 43%), resulting in a season record of 26-13 (67%).

 

College Football Top 10 Offensive Teams – Week 8

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Overall team ratings and team statistical ratings for all teams are on the team ratings page.

Here are the Top 10 teams for each offensive category.  Ratings are adjusted to account for opponent strength.

Alabama is in the Top 10 in 3 of the 4 categories.

Rank Rushing Passing TO Scoring
1 Georgia Tech UCLA Wake Forest Ohio St.
2 Army West Point Oklahoma Toledo Oklahoma State
3 Navy Oklahoma State Arizona St. Notre Dame
4 Notre Dame Louisville San Diego State Oklahoma
5 Alabama Washington St. Maryland Alabama
6 Air Force New Mexico St. Alabama Penn St.
7 Mississippi St. Mississippi NC State UCF
8 Arizona Texas Tech Buffalo Texas Tech
9 South Florida Ohio St. Washington UCLA
10 Tulsa Syracuse Tulane Louisville

 

College Football Top 10 Defensive Teams – Week 8

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Overall team ratings and team statistical ratings for all teams are on the team ratings page.

Here are the Top 10 teams for each defensive category.  Ratings are adjusted to account for opponent strength.

Top 10 Teams in 3 out of 4 of the categories:

  • Alabama
  • Clemson
  • Penn State
Rank Rushing Passing TO Scoring
1 Mich. St. Penn St. Memphis Alabama
2 Georgia Michigan Wyoming Penn St.
3 Ohio St. Washington South Florida TCU
4 Florida State Alabama California Clemson
5 Alabama Tennessee Utah Washington
6 Michigan Washington St. Penn St. Ohio St.
7 Clemson Clemson UCF Georgia
8 Auburn Coastal Caro. Appalachian St. Wisconsin
9 TCU Cent. Michigan Texas A&M Mich. St.
10 Navy Temple UNLV Florida State

The Ranker Slays in Week 7 – Prediction Results

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The Ranker slayed ESPN’s FPI and Jeff Sagarin’s ratings in Week 7’s picks against the spread.

Last week’s results

The Ranker also did well with last week’s upset picks:  5-5, 50%.

The Ranker’s high confidence picks were not impressive (12-12, 50%), which led me to take a closer look at the data.  I’ve found a better set of parameters to identify “high confidence” picks moving forward.  These picks were 5-2 (71%) last week, 24-10 (71%) on the season.

 

Week 7 College Football Upset Alerts

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As the season progresses, and The Ranker has more data to work with, the upset alerts should carry more weight.  Nonetheless, here are the games The Ranker has identified as the most likely upsets this week.

Note:  So far, The Ranker has predicted 47 upsets – only 9 have happened, although there’s been some close calls.  This week looks promising…

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