The Ranker is Better Than ESPN — 2-11-2018 Update

I’ve compared the results of using TheRankerPit.com’s team ratings and  ESPN’s BPI predictions to pick games against the spread.   The Ranker’s predictions simply compare the difference between each’s team’s overall rating to the point spread, adjusting for home court advantage.

I used the spreads posted on teamrankings.com.

Last season, The Ranker beat ESPN’s BPI in February, the only month I tracked.

  • TheRankerPit.com:  414-391, 51.4%
  • ESPN BPI:  376-429, 46.7%

This season has been rough, but apparently it’s been difficult for more than The Ranker.  Saturday’s result broke a 9-day streak of The Ranker beating ESPN.

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The Ranker is Better Than ESPN — 2-4-2018 Update

I’ve compared the results of using TheRankerPit.com’s team ratings and  ESPN’s BPI predictions to pick games against the spread.   The Ranker’s predictions simply compare the difference between each’s team’s overall rating to the point spread, adjusting for home court advantage.

I used the spreads posted on teamrankings.com.

Last season, The Ranker beat ESPN’s BPI in February, the only month I tracked.

  • TheRankerPit.com:  414-391, 51.4%
  • ESPN BPI:  376-429, 46.7%

This season has been rough, but apparently it’s been difficult for more than The Ranker.  The last full week of January was a particulary rough stretch, but TheRankerPit.com’s picks are still out-performing ESPN’s BPI overall.

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The Ranker is Better Than ESPN — 1-14-2018 Update

I’ve compared the results of using TheRankerPit.com’s team ratings and  ESPN’s BPI predictions to pick games against the spread.   The Ranker’s predictions simply compare the difference between each’s team’s overall rating to the point spread, adjusting for home court advantage.

I used the spreads posted on teamrankings.com.

Last season, The Ranker beat ESPN’s BPI in February, the only month I tracked.

  • TheRankerPit.com:  414-391, 51.4%
  • ESPN BPI:  376-429, 46.7%

This season has been rough, but apparently it’s been difficult for more than The Ranker.  TheRankerPit.com’s picks are still out-performing ESPN’s BPI.

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Picks 1-3-2018

I have identified several conditions that when they are met, The Ranker’s picks are significantly more accurate.

Yesterday, the Ranker was 4-5-1.  Unfortunately, yesterday’s picks didn’t get posted online.  Here are today’s picks that The Ranker has most confidence in:

Point spreads from teamrankings.com

Game Pick
Richmond vs Fordham Richmond +1.5
Clemson vs Boston College Clemson -5
Syracuse vs Wake Forest Syracuse +2
North Carolina vs Florida St. North Carolina +1.5
VCU vs Saint Joseph’s VCU +1
Illinois St. vs Drake Illinois St. +4
South Dakota St. vs North Dakota St. North Dakota St. +1
Kentucky vs LSU LSU +4.5
Oklahoma St. vs Oklahoma Oklahoma St. +9.5
Missouri vs South Carolina Missouri +2
Virginia vs Virginia Tech Virginia Tech +1.5
Miami (FL) vs Georgia Tech Miami (FL) -6
North Carolina St. vs Notre Dame Notre Dame -7

Top 0.2% – The Ranker Slays Bowl Picks

The Ranker’s entry in ESPN’s Capital One Bowl Mania pick’em competition (using confidence points) scores better than 99.8% of all entries!

The picks were based solely off of the team ratings from TheRankerPit.com. The higher the rating difference, the higher the confidence points assigned to that matchup.

Pretty impressive, given all of the intangibles at play in bowl games. My entry is ranked 695 out of 300,000+ total entries. Screenshot of my score:

Picks 1-2-2018

I have identified several conditions that when they are met, The Ranker’s picks are significantly more accurate.

Yesterday, the Ranker was 1-0.  Unfortunately, yesterday’s picks didn’t get posted online.  Here are today’s picks that The Ranker has most confidence in:

Point spreads from teamrankings.com

Game Pick
Drexel vs UNC Wilmington Drexel +2
Ohio vs Central Mich. Ohio +2
TCU vs Baylor TCU +1.5
Butler vs Xavier Butler +7
Auburn vs Tennessee Auburn +6
Indiana vs Wisconsin Indiana +6
William & Mary vs James Madison William & Mary +3
Florida vs Texas A&M Texas A&M -3
Arkansas vs Mississippi St. Arkansas -2
Texas Tech vs Kansas Texas Tech +7

The Ranker’s Bowl Game Picks

Bowl Game Picks Against the Spread (ATS)

(Odds from teamrankings.com, as of 12/12/17)

Picks based on overall team ratings

Bowl Matchup TheRankerPit.com Pick
North Texas vs Troy Troy  -6.5
Georgia State vs W Kentucky Georgia State  +6.5
Boise State vs Oregon Boise State  +7.5
Marshall vs Colorado St Marshall  +5.5
Middle Tenn vs Arkansas St Arkansas St  -3.5
Akron vs Fla Atlantic Akron  +22.5
LA Tech vs S Methodist LA Tech  +5
Temple vs Florida Intl Florida Intl  +7
UAB vs Ohio Ohio  -7.5
Central Mich vs Wyoming Central Mich  0
Texas Tech vs S Florida S Florida  -2.5
San Diego St vs Army Army  +7
App State vs Toledo App State  +7.5
Houston vs Fresno St Fresno St  +2.5
Utah vs W Virginia W Virginia  +7
Duke vs N Illinois N Illinois  +4.5
Kansas St vs UCLA UCLA  +2.5
S Mississippi vs Florida St S Mississippi  +15.5
Iowa vs Boston Col Iowa  -3
Arizona vs Purdue Purdue  +3.5
Texas vs Missouri Texas  +3
Virginia vs Navy Navy  -3.5
VA Tech vs Oklahoma St VA Tech  +4.5
Stanford vs TX Christian Stanford  +2.5
Wash State vs Michigan St Michigan St  +2.5
Wake Forest vs Texas A&M Wake Forest  -3
NC State vs Arizona St Arizona St  +6
Kentucky vs Northwestern Northwestern  -7
Utah State vs N Mex State Utah State  -4
USC vs Ohio State Ohio State  -7.5
Louisville vs Miss State Miss State  +6.5
Iowa State vs Memphis Iowa State  +3.5
Washington vs Penn State Penn State  -2
Wisconsin vs Miami (FL) Wisconsin  -6.5
Michigan vs S Carolina Michigan  -7.5
Central FL vs Auburn Central FL  +9.5
Notre Dame vs LSU Notre Dame  +3
Georgia vs Oklahoma Georgia  -2
Alabama vs Clemson Alabama  -2.5